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Three Mayors on Brevard County Commercial Development

  • Writer: Cassandra Hartford
    Cassandra Hartford
  • 1 day ago
  • 6 min read

Updated: 1 day ago

Gretchen Sauerman, economic development director for the City of Palm Bay, opened Bisnow's Space Coast State of the Market on Tuesday with a number she had looked up the night before. The three mayors sitting on stage represent more than 220,000 residents, which is over half of Brevard County's incorporated population and about 70 percent of the county's municipal growth since 2020. Then she gave them thirty minutes and stopped moderating.

Palm Bay Leads Brevard County Commercial Development

Mayor Rob Medina said Palm Bay has grown its commercial base by more than 13 percent over the last six years against a national average he put under 4 percent. He pointed at L3Harris, which he said has invested more than $100 million in the city recently, and at Vertex and Florida Tech as the other pillars. The city covers close to 100 square miles, which is the single fact that matters most to anyone looking for developable land in this county.

The policy change he led with is the one worth putting in an underwriting model. For the first time in the city's history, Palm Bay requires developers to pay their fair share as phases proceed rather than after completion. His stated reasoning was the time value of the money: when the city collects at completion, the dollars have lost value across the years the infrastructure was being built. Whether you think that is fair, it moves cash forward in a multi-phase pro forma and it is now the rule. He asked the room specifically for light industrial and manufacturing.

Titusville: A Certified Spaceport, a Free Trade Zone, and 80,000 Cars

Titusville Mayor Andrew Connors leaned on assets nobody else in the county has. The municipal airport is an FAA-certified spaceport with a Space Florida overlay and a free trade zone, which he framed as the landing spot for European companies that cannot get across the federal line to launch. The NASA Causeway has been rebuilt to carry heavy payloads. Space Florida and the Florida Department of Transportation came in with a $15 million grant to lay infrastructure at the airport ahead of tenants. The city is standing up a new economic development organization to chase grants and incentives.

He was blunter about the part cities control. Connors said smaller governments too often turn into "HOAs with taxing authority," and framed his job as getting regulation out of the way and compressing review time. The city runs an expedited review process on the theory that cutting approval from a year to six months, or six months to three, helps the financing and the bottom line even when there is no grant money in the deal.

The number I wrote down twice: roughly 80,000 cars a day drive on Titusville roads against about 40,000 residents. Connors said if you put a restaurant at the corner of State Road 405 and State Road 407, you will make money, because 15,000 cars a day cross that bridge to go to work. He also said the city cannot fund the $200 million it would take to rebuild its city hall, police station and fire station, and is looking at public-private partnerships to do it.

On workforce, he pointed to a space mechatronics lab at Titusville High School, a welding program at Astronaut High, and Eastern Florida State College's aviation maintenance technology program on a 150-acre campus with students dual-enrolled between the two. Graduates are going straight to SpaceX, Blue Origin, Lockheed and Amazon at $40 to $50 an hour without a four-year degree.

Cocoa: Water, Brightline, and Two Downtowns

Cocoa Mayor Mike Blake's pitch started with utility. The city's water system serves more than 100,000 customers across Brevard County, including Kennedy Space Center and Patrick. He noted the city historically sold about a million gallons a day to Titusville and is down to roughly 300,000 now, which tells you something about where north county has built its own capacity.

The development story is the Brightline station. Blake described a deliberate split: the historic Cocoa Village stays what it is, and the contemporary, denser, more technologically built-out growth goes to the north and northwest side of the city around the station. He credited federal support for getting it done, and made the point that a station in Cocoa pulls jobs for Palm Bay and Titusville too. He also raised Amendment 3 and property taxes as the item that will hit every municipality in the county, a concern Medina came back to at the close.

On schools, Blake said Cocoa runs a career and technical education program with police and fire academies that high schoolers enroll in directly, and that Cocoa High has moved from a C to a B with a graduation rate above 84 percent.

RCRE Take

The Titusville traffic count is the most actionable thing any of the three said. Eighty thousand cars against forty thousand residents means the daytime population is doing the spending and the retail underwriting should reflect that, not the census number. I have watched retail deals in north Brevard get killed on a rooftop count that ignored the commuting workforce entirely.

The Palm Bay impact fee change is real money and it is not a talking point. If you are running a phased residential or commercial project there, the fees move forward in the schedule. That is a defensible policy and it changes what you can pay for the land, so price it in at the LOI rather than discovering it in permitting.

On Amendment 3, both Blake and Medina were circling the same thing without saying it plainly, so I will. If municipalities lose property tax revenue, the replacement revenue tends to arrive as fees and exactions on new development, because that is the base with the least political resistance. Anyone underwriting a Brevard project with a three-year entitlement runway should assume the fee environment at delivery is not the fee environment today.

Submarket Context

Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa are three different underwriting problems: Palm Bay has the land and the manufacturing tenant base, Titusville has the spaceport overlay and a daytime population that outruns its rooftops, and Cocoa has the rail station and the water. What is currently on the market across all three is on our commercial investments page. If you want the background on how I cover this county, that is on the about page.

If you are buying land or planning a project in Palm Bay, Titusville or Cocoa, call before you tie up a site. 321-300-4773, or reach me through the contact page.

Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

When are impact fees due on a Palm Bay project now?

As phases proceed rather than at completion. Mayor Rob Medina said this is the first time in the city's history it has worked that way, and that the reasoning is the erosion in the value of the dollar between when infrastructure is built and when the city is paid. Confirm the current schedule with the city before you underwrite.

What incentives does Titusville offer industrial and aerospace users?

The municipal airport is an FAA-certified spaceport carrying a Space Florida overlay and a free trade zone. Space Florida and FDOT contributed a $15 million grant for airport infrastructure ahead of tenants, and the city runs an expedited review process aimed at cutting approval timelines.

How many people actually drive through Titusville each day?

About 80,000 cars a day on city roads against roughly 40,000 residents, per Mayor Andrew Connors, with about 15,000 crossing the causeway daily for work. He named the State Road 405 and 407 corner as an underserved retail location because of it.

Which Brevard city supplies the county's water?

Cocoa. Mayor Mike Blake said the city's system serves more than 100,000 customers across Brevard including Kennedy Space Center and Patrick, and that sales to Titusville have fallen from about a million gallons a day to roughly 300,000.

Where is Cocoa steering new development?

North and northwest of the historic core, around the coming Brightline station. Blake described keeping Cocoa Village as it is and putting the denser contemporary development near the rail, which is the pattern to watch if you are looking at land in that corridor.

Written by Cassandra Hartford, founder and CEO of Reach Commercial Real Estate. She has worked in Brevard County commercial real estate for 18 years, representing buyers, sellers, landlords, and tenants across Florida's Space Coast.

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